Weather It Is (Winter Cold, Stormy Weather)

Good Afternoon:

A very strong storm is approaching from the northwest and it will bring the coldest weather of the year.  In fact, tomorrow morning should be the coldest weather of the year so far.

However, the storm will swing around back to the north, thus limiting the precipitation to the coastal and northern areas, where 25 to 50 mm should fall just to the north of Tel-Aviv and perhaps > 50 mm along the northern coast.  Snow in the Hermon will continue to add to their snowy winter totals.

The storm will bring strong, if not gale-force winds into Monday, and dust will be prevalent -- especially in southern areas.

I noted in the NWS forecast for New York City yesterday that their winter storm took an unexpected jog to the northwest, blanketing most of southeastern NY with half a foot of snow (and especially Long Island and southeastern Connecticut with even heavier snow). The forecast models picked up on this the Friday afternoon before the snow on Saturday (Shabbat).

Might a "jog" to the southeast happen here.  It could, but it isn't likely.  If it does, though, it would bring wet snow to the higher elevations of the central mountains.

Looking further ahead: we still see lots of instability in the circulation pattern: heavier rain may fall generally across the country early next week, but this mid-week could first bring another bout of cold and showers.

Barry Lynn