Weather It Is (Winds Subside, Then Winter Storm Arrives)

Good Evening:

The winds will slowly subside over the next few days, which will make it easier to fight the wildfires.

However, sometime on Tuesday the winds will pick up again ahead of our next storm.

The next storm system promises to bring the "first-rain" to Israel, most likely ending the drought
that has plagued our land all fall. In fact, snow is most likely on the Hermon and mixed rain and ice/graupel in the higher elevations of the north and central mountains. In the lower areas, strong storms could bring lightning and hail, which may spread inland.

Moreover, the winds will be extremely strong with this storm, so it will definitely feel like winter has arrived.

The storm is suppose to develop in association with a cold outbreak from the north, as high pressure builds over western Europe.  The amount of cold and the intensity of the rain will depend on just how strong that high develops and remains anchored to our west.  If it breaks down too fast, then the cold will be less and the rain less.  Right now, we're looking for something in between -- a good soaking rain, but not as extreme as might happen if all "fell into place."

Barry Lynn