Wednesday, November 30, 2016

Weather It Is (Severe Winter Storm)

Good Evening:

The rain has been a little slow in arriving, but the atmosphere will turn favorable for a soaking rain from the north to the central areas starting tomorrow and lasting into Saturday.  Moreover, the storm will bring gale force winds from late morning Thursday into late Friday.

As the storm arrives, there is a 60% chance of > 10 mm in 3 hour of rain in the Tel-Aviv area.

With the winds and rain will come cold temperatures as the storm moves in from the northwest. Our 4 km WRF 36 to 72 hour forecast shows snow on the Hermon as well.  The same maps are indicating the potential for flooding rains from Haifa Northward, and in the area of Askhelon eastward to the Dead Sea Valley.

The cold will last into Sunday, and then temperatures will moderate for a few days.

The long range forecast shows a 10% chance of snow on or about the anniversary of the giant snow of December 2013.

Barry Lynn


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