Good Morning:
The rain looks to start up far north today, and then move south late, ending up with some showers in the center tonight. However, there is a chance of a shower in the centre throughout the day.
Barry Lynn
Tuesday, September 24, 2013
Monday, September 23, 2013
Weather It Is (Storm on the Way)
Good Evening:
There is a strong storm on the way. Temperatures will drop off by several degrees, especially at upper levels, which will lead to a sharp increase in atmospheric instability.
There is some moisture associated with this storm, so we can expect rain and possibly some strong showers. However, rain amounts will generally be on the lighter side. The storm will arrive up north in the early morning, while developing a rain band in the center of the country. The rain will then continue, off and on, into Wednesday. Where this band forms is a bit uncertain, so keep an eye on the sky.
After the storm passes, the weather will moderate quite nicely.
Barry Lynn
There is a strong storm on the way. Temperatures will drop off by several degrees, especially at upper levels, which will lead to a sharp increase in atmospheric instability.
There is some moisture associated with this storm, so we can expect rain and possibly some strong showers. However, rain amounts will generally be on the lighter side. The storm will arrive up north in the early morning, while developing a rain band in the center of the country. The rain will then continue, off and on, into Wednesday. Where this band forms is a bit uncertain, so keep an eye on the sky.
After the storm passes, the weather will moderate quite nicely.
Barry Lynn
Sunday, September 22, 2013
Weather It Is (More Rain on the Way)
Good Afternoon:
I'm not sure that having an umbrella in the Sukka really did much good last night -- 0.27 inches of rain fell at our place and everything got thoroughly soaked. It is interesting that this was not a tropical rain, but the first winter-like rain of the year -- bypassing the tropical rains that usually occur at this time.
In fact, we're scheduled for another winter-like rain on Tuesday, which may produce an even heavier rain than the one yesterday and last (Motzei-Shabbat) night.
Yet, looking beyond the next winter rain, the weather maps show a return to more fall like weather -- even a bit warm for my taste.
So, enjoy the rain, enjoy the winter, but look forward to a bit of summer as well.
Until Tuesday, there is a risk of a shower, but nothing can be predicted with any certainty -- so no plans should be changed.
Modim L'Simcha,
Barry Lynn
I'm not sure that having an umbrella in the Sukka really did much good last night -- 0.27 inches of rain fell at our place and everything got thoroughly soaked. It is interesting that this was not a tropical rain, but the first winter-like rain of the year -- bypassing the tropical rains that usually occur at this time.
In fact, we're scheduled for another winter-like rain on Tuesday, which may produce an even heavier rain than the one yesterday and last (Motzei-Shabbat) night.
Yet, looking beyond the next winter rain, the weather maps show a return to more fall like weather -- even a bit warm for my taste.
So, enjoy the rain, enjoy the winter, but look forward to a bit of summer as well.
Until Tuesday, there is a risk of a shower, but nothing can be predicted with any certainty -- so no plans should be changed.
Modim L'Simcha,
Barry Lynn
Friday, September 20, 2013
Weather It Is (The Calendar Moves Along)
Good Afternoon:
The calendar moves along and so does the weather.
After a stifling evening, the temperature dropped off by 6 degrees in just a few hours as cold air swept our latest bit of summer reminder away.
The weather map shows a small storm impacting the north and center tonight into tomorrow morning, with the possibility of light rain in the center and moderate rain along the northern coast.
There is plenty of indication that the temperatures will fall off by about 10 more degrees from yesterday's highs and stay there for several days. Another storm impulse should be along sometime Sunday, with the possibility of more rain as well. Of course, we still have a strong fall sun, so it shouldn't feel to chilly while flitting between the shadows -- especially by mid-day when the morning chill should moderate to something more pleasant.
Barry Lynn
The calendar moves along and so does the weather.
After a stifling evening, the temperature dropped off by 6 degrees in just a few hours as cold air swept our latest bit of summer reminder away.
The weather map shows a small storm impacting the north and center tonight into tomorrow morning, with the possibility of light rain in the center and moderate rain along the northern coast.
There is plenty of indication that the temperatures will fall off by about 10 more degrees from yesterday's highs and stay there for several days. Another storm impulse should be along sometime Sunday, with the possibility of more rain as well. Of course, we still have a strong fall sun, so it shouldn't feel to chilly while flitting between the shadows -- especially by mid-day when the morning chill should moderate to something more pleasant.
Barry Lynn
Wednesday, September 18, 2013
Weather It Is (What, Rain Already?)
Good Afternoon:
The temperatures have warmed up nicely ahead of an approaching storm. However, winds are pretty gusty, although they shouldn't reach severe levels (but someone will need to volunteer to hold the bamboo covering ("Schock") on the Sukkah).
The last I looked, the calendar read September 18th, which seems a bit early for an approaching storm. Perhaps the weather goes according to the Jewish Calendar.
This storm is a pretty fast mover, and will bring light rain into the north with the possibility of a light shower in the center. The weather pattern should remain unstable during the next couple of days, so we can't rule out a Sukka shower as well.
Early in the week, an even stronger storm could bring higher rain chances (again to the north), with showers elsewhere.
Otherwise, temperatures will be pleasant pretty much all-over the country.
Hag Samaech,
Barry Lynn
The temperatures have warmed up nicely ahead of an approaching storm. However, winds are pretty gusty, although they shouldn't reach severe levels (but someone will need to volunteer to hold the bamboo covering ("Schock") on the Sukkah).
The last I looked, the calendar read September 18th, which seems a bit early for an approaching storm. Perhaps the weather goes according to the Jewish Calendar.
This storm is a pretty fast mover, and will bring light rain into the north with the possibility of a light shower in the center. The weather pattern should remain unstable during the next couple of days, so we can't rule out a Sukka shower as well.
Early in the week, an even stronger storm could bring higher rain chances (again to the north), with showers elsewhere.
Otherwise, temperatures will be pleasant pretty much all-over the country.
Hag Samaech,
Barry Lynn
Thursday, September 12, 2013
Weather It Is (Transitions Are Never Easy)
Good Afternoon:
As you can see in the article below, the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) is predicting the hottest temperatures on Yom Kippur in a decade. Our own forecast also predicts an uncomfortable build up of heat from this afternoon through Yom Kippur/Shabbat. However, our maximum high temperatures on Yom Kippur (as the heat wave eases) are a few degrees cooler than those of the IMS (although I just heard that the IMS might have backed down a bit).
The coolest locations will be along the coast where NW winds will bring in some moisture (and humidity), and in the highest areas around Jerusalem (like Gush Etzion) where temperatures will be two to three degrees cooler than Jerusalem and the Beit Shemesh Valley. Of course, Yom Kippur on the Hermon would be even better, but not in Katzrin where temperatures will approach the upper 30s.
This is a time of transition, and our relatively cool (summer) NW winds are being replaced by North Easterly winds rotating around low pressure to our east. Fortunately, these winds should shift back to the North by Northwest, just in time for Yom Kippur, but it will still be quite hot, nevertheless.
Yet, we're even seeing a large warm in time for Sukkot, to possibly be followed by some Succa showers as we transition back to cooler weather later in the holiday.
Lastly, there is only a danger of forest fires if someone lights one -- so be careful with campfires and cigarettes.
An easy fast,
Barry Lynn
Unseasonable heat to afflict Israelis on Yom Kippur
09/10/2013 19:45
A man rests during a heat wave. Photo: REUTERS
Israelis will experience unseasonably hot and dry temperatures while fasting
this Yom Kippur, due to a high-altitude air ridge and an influx of northerly
winds.
The weather changes will burden the country with considerable rises in heat, with the interior portions of Israel receiving the most scorching temperatures and an increased risk of fires, the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) announced on Tuesday.
During the heat wave, the hottest days will be Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with temperatures climbing the highest on Friday, the eve of Yom Kippur.
In meteorological terms, a ridge is an elongated region characterized by high atmospheric pressure, whereas a trough is such an area with low atmospheric pressure.
At the hottest point of the heat wave – on Friday – temperatures in the Shfela region could climb to 34-35 degrees Celsius, in the Jerusalem and Beersheba areas to 35-36 degrees Celsius and in the Galilee and southern Golan Heights to 39-41 degrees Celsius, IMS data predicted.
Such a hot-weather event is rare on Yom Kippur, in part because the holiday usually falls in October or late September, the IMS explained. During the past 50 years, only in 1988 and in 2002 did the country experience such levels of heat over the holiday.
For the years 1995 to 2009, the average daily maximum temperature in mid-September was 31 degrees Celsius for the Shfela region and 28 degrees Celsius for the Jerusalem region, according to IMS data. During those years in mid-October, averages were 29 degrees Celsius and 26-27 degrees Celsius for the respective regions.
While the weather forecasts do indicate unusually hot temperatures, the IMS stressed that these are daytime maximum figures.
Because the nights are getting longer during this time of year and nighttime temperatures drop considerably, it will be more difficult for severe conditions to accumulate during the day now in comparison to the height of summertime, the IMS said.
The Health Ministry warned people of all ages to take care to protect their health.
The elderly, patients with chronic diseases, pregnant women and babies especially, but also others, should avoid exposure to sun and heat, not perform any unnecessary physical activity and frequently drink water (not including those fasting on Yom Kippur, except on doctor’s orders) and stay in airconditioned places as much as possible.
There is also a danger of forest fires.
The weather changes will burden the country with considerable rises in heat, with the interior portions of Israel receiving the most scorching temperatures and an increased risk of fires, the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) announced on Tuesday.
During the heat wave, the hottest days will be Thursday, Friday and Saturday – with temperatures climbing the highest on Friday, the eve of Yom Kippur.
In meteorological terms, a ridge is an elongated region characterized by high atmospheric pressure, whereas a trough is such an area with low atmospheric pressure.
At the hottest point of the heat wave – on Friday – temperatures in the Shfela region could climb to 34-35 degrees Celsius, in the Jerusalem and Beersheba areas to 35-36 degrees Celsius and in the Galilee and southern Golan Heights to 39-41 degrees Celsius, IMS data predicted.
Such a hot-weather event is rare on Yom Kippur, in part because the holiday usually falls in October or late September, the IMS explained. During the past 50 years, only in 1988 and in 2002 did the country experience such levels of heat over the holiday.
For the years 1995 to 2009, the average daily maximum temperature in mid-September was 31 degrees Celsius for the Shfela region and 28 degrees Celsius for the Jerusalem region, according to IMS data. During those years in mid-October, averages were 29 degrees Celsius and 26-27 degrees Celsius for the respective regions.
While the weather forecasts do indicate unusually hot temperatures, the IMS stressed that these are daytime maximum figures.
Because the nights are getting longer during this time of year and nighttime temperatures drop considerably, it will be more difficult for severe conditions to accumulate during the day now in comparison to the height of summertime, the IMS said.
The Health Ministry warned people of all ages to take care to protect their health.
The elderly, patients with chronic diseases, pregnant women and babies especially, but also others, should avoid exposure to sun and heat, not perform any unnecessary physical activity and frequently drink water (not including those fasting on Yom Kippur, except on doctor’s orders) and stay in airconditioned places as much as possible.
There is also a danger of forest fires.
Sunday, September 8, 2013
Weather It Is (A Turn for the Worse)
Good Afternoon:
We certainly had some of the best Rosh Hashanah weather that I can remember. It wasn't too sunny, or too cloudy, and it wasn't particularly hot or too cold. The weather was just right.
Unfortunately, the weather will be taking a turn towards the "worse." Simply, it is going to get hot before it gets cool again, and while the hottest weather may occur on Thursday of this week, it's not going to cool off very fast, and Yom Kippur could also end up being rather uncomfortably hot.
The hot weather will be courtesy of low pressure strengthening over the desert of Saudia Arabia, as a easterly flow sets up and curves around over Iraq, passing over Syria and Jordan. So, the air will probably turn dusty as well, and air quality will be poor.
Gamar Chatima Tova,
Barry Lynn
We certainly had some of the best Rosh Hashanah weather that I can remember. It wasn't too sunny, or too cloudy, and it wasn't particularly hot or too cold. The weather was just right.
Unfortunately, the weather will be taking a turn towards the "worse." Simply, it is going to get hot before it gets cool again, and while the hottest weather may occur on Thursday of this week, it's not going to cool off very fast, and Yom Kippur could also end up being rather uncomfortably hot.
The hot weather will be courtesy of low pressure strengthening over the desert of Saudia Arabia, as a easterly flow sets up and curves around over Iraq, passing over Syria and Jordan. So, the air will probably turn dusty as well, and air quality will be poor.
Gamar Chatima Tova,
Barry Lynn
Tuesday, September 3, 2013
Weather It Is (Falling Slowly)
Good Afternoon:
There is a wonderful play on Broadway called "Once." It is a story about (two quite different people) falling in-love; alas circumstances lead elsewhere. One of the lead songs is called: "Falling Slowly."
Looking at our weather forecast, it just may be that the weather calendar is catching up with the early Jewish calendar. Temperatures are indeed trending downward over the next couple of weeks. There should be a sharp decrease in temperature in time for Rosh Hashanah, a brief warm-up for Shabbat, and then another trend downwards.
As for any rain: none is forecast.
Shana Tova,
Barry Lynn
There is a wonderful play on Broadway called "Once." It is a story about (two quite different people) falling in-love; alas circumstances lead elsewhere. One of the lead songs is called: "Falling Slowly."
Looking at our weather forecast, it just may be that the weather calendar is catching up with the early Jewish calendar. Temperatures are indeed trending downward over the next couple of weeks. There should be a sharp decrease in temperature in time for Rosh Hashanah, a brief warm-up for Shabbat, and then another trend downwards.
As for any rain: none is forecast.
Shana Tova,
Barry Lynn
Sunday, September 1, 2013
Weather It Is (Should We Consult the Readers?)
Good Morning:
I've put away the milk, cottage cheese, and bread, and I'm ready to look ahead a couple of weeks and see what we can do about this late fall weather. It's now September st and we see absolutely no change on the horizon. There is always the possibility of a bit of change in temperatures up or down, but there isn't anything to note in particular.
We're all quite relieved (in a sense) that our New Years will not be spent worrying about "blowback" from an United States attack on Syria, but the President's dithering made me think. If fact, it raises a profound question as we move into the second half of the month. I believe that I have the authority to forecast an early end to fall. In fact, I think that it is a moral imperative to end fall as early as possible and bring on the winter rains. After all, we're going to be changing our prayers and asking for rain at the end of Sukkot, so what choice do I have?
Yet, I feel that I should consult with the viewers/readers of this site before taking any action. True, the plants may wither (and die), but alas that I should take independent action and express leadership on this important issue. What choice is there but to consult, and then consult some more (just in case the opportunity presents itself to consult again). So, before taking action, whether it is "making it" (or forecasting) rain, I will be sure to ask you (or you too) for your opinion.
A Happy New Year
Barry Lynn
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