Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Weather It Is (Headed Down)

Good Evening:

The summer is coming to an end.  Cooler air is moving in behind a weak front, and cooler air will continue to flow in over the next several days.

With the cooler air will come increasing amounts of moisture.  There isn't any big storm shown on the horizon, but weak low pressure will develop and then meander over the eastern Mediterranean.
Rain is on the horizon.

Barry Lynn

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Weather It Is (That Wasn't)

Good Evening:

Mid last week, the forecast for this week was for steady rain -- all week.  However, by Friday the weather forecast had changed dramatically from rainy to sunny, and now it is suppose to be summer-like next week!

So, what happened?  My guess is that we had the same problem all the Whos down in Whoville had when they just weren't making enough noise. There was one slacker -- one child actually -- who just wasn't making any noise.  Likewise, when it came to Monday's prayer for a rainy winter, someone dropped the ball -- someone just didn't pray loud enough to bring the rain.

Of course, I don't really know what happened, but one can look at our ensemble (GEFS) forecasts to see just how many forecast ensemble members are predicting a change in the weather.  The greater the number, the more likely our weather will change as predicted.  Right now, most ensemble members are predicting it will be getting quite a bit warmer, at least for the next week to ten days.

That's it -- as our rainy weather slides by to our northwest and only minimally is forecast to impact the far north.

Barry Lynn